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May 12, 2008

It Depends If You See the Salt Cavern As Half Empty

...or half full.

..."The purpose of the reserve is not for price manipulation," said a White House spokesman. "The modest fill rate has a negligible impact on prices, and the President believes it is in our national security interest to continue filling it up."

One oil trader said the president is actually making the right decision, and filling the SPR could even lower prices.

"It acts as a deterrent," said Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at Alaron Trading in Chicago. "If it was twice the size, we'd be less concerned about disruptions from places like Nigeria or Iran."



Dude...

Posted by tree hugging sister at May 12, 2008 11:59 PM

Comments

Two words…

BUILD REFINERIES!

Posted by: Gunslinger at May 13, 2008 06:50 AM

The "build refineries" thing really isn't an issue.

Refining costs are a tiny fraction of gasoline (8%, currently, but sometimes higher during peak seasons), and refining will never be free. At best, more refining capacity will only save 25 cents, on average, a gallon, and probably less than that.

Posted by: Nobrainer at May 13, 2008 07:07 AM

Nobrainer, building refineries is HALF the issue, the other half being a reliable and flexible source of oil. Supply & demand, y'know.

Maybe not quite half.....IIRC, there's a complicated set of laws in this country, driven by the states, which mandates different fuel types. That makes production and distribution more expensive as well.

The point being, we've brought this on ourselves. We can fix it, if we had the will.

Posted by: The_Real_JeffS at May 13, 2008 09:23 AM

At this point, refining in general is much less than half the issue, much less building refineries. And most people confuse "building refineries" with increasing refining capacity, which are not necessarily the same thing. The former is not being done in the US. The latter is.

Nonetheless, going back to the start of 2005, 43 cents of every gallon, on average, has gone to refining. We can will all we want, but more refining isn't going to be able to save us that much per gallon.

Posted by: Nobrainer at May 13, 2008 11:00 AM

I'm more concerned about supply than price, truth be told. Refining is a genuine bottleneck in the system. Witness the problems in the gasoline supplies post-Katrina.

Posted by: The_Real_JeffS at May 13, 2008 11:45 AM