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August 03, 2006

Chris Deflates

And we're not shedding any tears:

CHRIS IS BECOMING DISORGANIZED IN A HURRY. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS BECOME DETACHED FROM THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DUE TO NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR...AND THIS WAS CONFIRMED BY FIXES FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE. THE MINIMUM PRESSURE HAS RISEN TO 1010 MB AND THE MAXIMUM FLIGHT LEVEL WIND REPORTED SO FAR IS ONLY 38 KNOTS. HOWEVER...ASSUMING THAT THE ENTIRE CIRCULATION HAS NOT BEEN SAMPLED...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ADJUSTED TO 40 KNOTS... AND THIS IS VERY GENEROUS. I WAS TEMPTED TO FORECAST WEAKENING AND EVEN DISSIPATION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...BUT THE BEST OPTION AT THIS TIME IS TO KEEP THE CYCLONE ON A STEADY STATE CONSIDERING THAT THE SHEAR COULD DECREASE...AS SUGGESTED BY THE SHIPS MODEL.

Posted by Mr. Bingley at August 3, 2006 07:57 AM

Comments

Lies! All lies, I tell you! I am as virile as ever!

Posted by: Chris at August 3, 2006 11:04 AM

See "left nut" post above.

Posted by: tree hugging sister at August 3, 2006 11:09 AM

And Weather Underground had a cheerful little note on Chris yesterday:

The "curse" of Chris

This is not the first time a tropical storm named Chris has come. There were storms named Chris in 1982, 1988, 1994, and 2000. Each time, Chris has been an insignificant storm that either never made it to hurricane strength, or in one case, barely made it to hurricane strength but stayed out to sea and never had a nice photogenic appearance. However, the 2000 incarnation of Chris did set a record--shortest amount of time as a tropical storm. Chris in 2000 lasted just one advisory before wind shear tore it apart. I've happily needled my friend Dr. Chris Landsea, Science and Operations Officer at the National Hurricane Center, every six years about this "curse" of Chris. He's always pretty cheerful about it, saying it was a good curse to have. Well, I'm hoping that the "curse" of storms named Chris continues this year, and I can happily tell Chris he'll have to wait until 2012 to get that nice-looking eye that a storm named Chris has never had!

Posted by: tree hugging sister at August 3, 2006 11:46 AM